Talk:Sapphire Dragon/@comment-174.4.58.168-20120907085721/@comment-4775325-20120907105044

Ignore those breeding guides, they are for the most part pretty bad and give percentages based on dividing between the number of possible outcomes.

The thing is that no one knows the "real odds" apart from backflip and they aren't telling. The closest thing we have are the results from various testing groups and they're success rates over the few hundred tries they've made.

From this the rate seems to be something like 2-4% in the cave jumping to something more like 6-8% on the island. Again these are very rought rates and may not be truly accurate, but they are much closer to the truth than what the so called "guide apps" say.