Talk:Leathery Dragon/@comment-24839283-20140918020239/@comment-5416965-20140919001703

Success is not based on number of possible outcomes. BFS assigns a percentage to a dragon when introduced. In this case, according to Sanbox, there is a 14% chance of getting on island. That number is constant whether target is 15 or 27. As a result, the more possibilities the odds of getting other dragons are reduced whilst the target remains constant. Basic percentages/math really.