Talk:Game Updates/@comment-4837747-20120224200417/@comment-4830404-20120224225010

I'm sorry Ashley Bricco, but although I realize you feel strongly about this, I think it is uncalled for to call me wrong for saying that 100% != 99.9999%... because it is not, and that is just a fact. I believe just as much as you do that the information about the Leap Year Dragon is most probably true. However, consider the wiki as a sort of organization that is supposed to provide trustworthy information. I feel as if the disclaimers posted in the Future Updates section are there to protect that trust.

If there is a 99.9999% chance that something is correct, and someone "confirms" that, then what happens in the 0.0001% case that the information turns out to be wrong? Some of that trust will be lost. That is why I think it is fair that the wiki staff waits until the information is confirmed true to officially edit it in. This does not stop them from sharing hints that they have seen that are likely to happen in future updates - there is nothing wrong with that.

It is a 100% fact that the code - at this moment - contains data for the Leap Year Dragon. It is a 100% fact that if Backflip scraps the idea suddenly, the work that went into implementing it will be lost. However, it is not a 100% fact that we, who are NOT from Backflip, know that Backflip won't make the decision to scrap it anyway.

I am a game developer and programmer. My job is to code things. I know from experience how designers sometimes change their minds.

I'm - NOT - saying that it will happen here. I believe very strongly that Backflip will release the Leap Year dragon. All that I am saying is, the wiki staff consists of responsible people, and I agree with the fact that they put the disclaimer in place with regards to future updates. Not reporting something until it is 100% certain is the safest way to conserve the integrity and truth of information. If we had scientists that conducted experiments and reported success while the experiments were still in progress before waiting till the very end, even though those experiments had a 99.9999% chance to succeed, then they would not be so reputable.