Talk:Topaz Dragon/@comment-198.228.228.159-20121129004556/@comment-71.63.254.65-20121129221627

If you tie each topaz attempt in the cave to an attempt in the island, then your odds of not getting a topaz after 70 paired attempts is about 6%, or about 1 in 20. Your odds of not getting a topaz after 100 paired attempts is .002%. Don't give up yet!