Talk:Emerald Dragon/@comment-5067621-20120525222419

Hi all. This is a repost from previous page. Let's do a little statistics to estimate the chance of getting this emerald dragon. Please respond (only ONCE for each of the emerald's you get) to the following survey. Once we get a large enough samples, we can estimate the chance of getting one in BC/EBI separately.

a. 1-5 tries in NBC

b. 6-10 tries in NBC

c. 11-15 tries in NBC

d. 16-20 tries in NBC

e. 21+ tries in NBC before getting one, or still don't have one

f. 1-5 tries in EBI

g. 6-10 tries in EBI

h. 11-15 tries in EBI

i. 16-20 tries in EBI

j. 21+ tries in EBI before getting one, or still don't have one

Assuming alternating between NBC/EBI counts as half sample for each, the estimation based on the first 11 valid responses so far:

In BC: 22% get an emerald after 1-5 tries, 11% need 6-10 tries, 22% need 16-20 tries, %45 need 21+ tries

In EBI: 15% get an emerald after 1-5 tries, %8 need 6-10 tries, %46 need 16-20 tries, %31 need 21+ tries

We need a larger samples to be accurate. Also please give response based on number of tries you have. Thanks.